Friday, November 4, 2011

Herman Cain & The Bradley Effect

Will Herman Cain suffer from the "Bradley Effect"? For those who don't know, the phenomenon is named after the former mayor of L.A., who ran and lost for governor of California despite being ahead in the polls before the election. The Bradley Effect describes when white voters tell pollsters they will vote for a minority candidate but actually don't vote for the minority candidate. People speculate that the white person tells the person what they want to hear out of fear of ridicule and scorn if they say the won't vote for the minority candidate. That is, the white voter is a racist.

Some speculated that Obama suffered from the Bradley Effect in NH when he lost to Hillary Clinton in the 2008 primary after a resounding win in the Iowa Caucuses.

Will Cain suffer from this effect? I honestly don't know. I can promise if that he doesn't win in Iowa or NH, the pundits will be eager to bring up the Bradley Effect and make strong accusations of how the Republican voters, in their quiet moments, are racists.

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